Stop Leaving
Money on the Table

AI-powered margin intelligence that tells your reps exactly what to price on every deal — and shows them why. Built for Value-Added Resellers who are done guessing.

DEAL SCORE v3.0
82
Good
NEEDS WORK BELOW AVG FAIR GOOD OPTIMAL
+35 Margin aligned +15 Win prob + Deal reg - 2 competitors
Recommended Margin
22.4%
Your plan: 18.0%
+4.4%
DEAL SCORE v3.0
82
Good
NEEDS WORK BELOW AVG FAIR GOOD OPTIMAL
+35 Margin aligned +15 Win probability + Deal registration - 2 competitors
Recommended Margin
22.4%
Your plan: 18.0%
+4.4%

Margin Setting Is Still an Art Form

Your reps are pricing deals on gut instinct, hallway conversations, and tribal knowledge. Every deal is a guess — and the guesses are costing you millions.

68%
Priced on Gut Feeling
Most reps set margins based on instinct rather than data, leading to inconsistent pricing across the org.
2-4%
Margin Left on the Table
On average, VARs under-price deals by 2-4 points. On a $100M book, that’s $2-4M in lost gross profit.
3+ hrs
Per Deal Debating Price
Sales managers spend hours in deal reviews arguing over margin. MarginArc gives them the answer in seconds.

Four Features. One Intelligence Layer.

MarginArc lives directly on the Salesforce Opportunity record — right where your reps already work. No new tabs. No context switching.

DEAL SCORE AI-POWERED
82
Good
+35 Aligned +15 Win prob - Competition
REC: 22.4%
+4.4% vs plan

Dynamic Deal Scoring

Every deal gets scored 0-100 on a red-to-green spectrum. Reps instantly see if their pricing is optimal, and exactly what features are helping or hurting their score.

COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE LIVE DATA
HEAD-TO-HEAD AT THIS ACCOUNT
CDW
3W2L
SHI
3W1L
Presidio
1W2L
Insight
2W0L

Competitive Intelligence

See your win/loss record against every competitor at every account. Know exactly who you beat, who beats you, and what strategies work.

DEAL INSIGHTS 8 INSIGHTS
Cisco avg margin is 14.2% — your planned 18% is above market. Consider deal reg to justify the premium.
3 competitors detected. High competition typically reduces win rate by 26%. Differentiate on services.
Network intel: CDW typically undercuts by 2-3% on Cisco. Counter with services attach.

Deal Insights

Contextual intelligence cards for every deal: OEM benchmarks, competitive pressure alerts, services attach opportunities, and network-sourced market trends.

WHAT-IF SCENARIOS BUILDER
Fewer Competitors
Premium Reg
High Value-Add
Current Deal
18.0%
Margin
54%
Win %
With Premium Reg
23.0%
Margin
71%
Win %

What-If Scenarios

Model different deal structures in seconds. See how registration type, competition level, and value-add change your margin and win probability side by side.

It Gets Smarter Every Quarter

MarginArc delivers value on Day 1 from your existing Salesforce data. But the real magic? It compounds. Every closed deal, every competitive outcome, every market shift makes the recommendations sharper.

Baseline Score Accuracy Max Day 1 3 Months 6 Months 12+ Months Instant Value Pattern Recognition Network Effects Full Intelligence
Day 1
Instant Value
Historical win/loss margin analysis
OEM-specific margin benchmarks
Deal size & segment scoring
Margin recommendations
Win probability modeling
Deal Score (0-100 spectrum)
3 Months
Pattern Recognition
Competitor win/loss tracking
Deal registration impact analysis
Customer segment patterns
What-if scenario modeling
AI-generated deal narratives
kNN historical deal matching
6 Months
Network Effects
MarginArc Network data pooling
Cross-VAR competitive benchmarks
Industry vertical deep dives
Seasonal & quarter-end patterns
Conflict firewall protection
Network confidence boost (+23%)
12+ Months
Full Intelligence
Rep performance coaching
Portfolio-level margin optimization
Management strategy knobs
Custom AI models per OEM
Automated pricing policies
Board-ready margin analytics

From Gut Feeling to Data-Driven Pricing

Three steps to transform how your team prices deals.

1

Connect Your Salesforce

Install the managed package. MarginArc reads your Opportunity data — wins, losses, margins, competitors, OEMs — to understand your pricing history.

2

AI Analyzes Every Deal

Our engine blends rule-based scoring with k-nearest-neighbor analysis of your historical deals. 15+ features. Real-time. No black boxes — every recommendation is explained.

3

Reps Price with Confidence

Recommendations appear directly on the Opportunity record. Reps see the score, the margin, the win probability, and the reasoning. One click to apply.

The MarginArc Intelligence Engine

Four proprietary ML layers that compound over time. The longer you use MarginArc, the smarter it gets — and every recommendation is fully explainable.

Model Accuracy Over Time
68%
Day 1
79%
Month 3
88%
Month 6
94%
Year 1+
Measured via cross-validated mean absolute error on held-out deals
Salesforce Opportunity
Cisco$450KMid-Market 2 CompetitorsPremium RegServices
Feature Vector x ∈ ℝ¹&sup5;
// SignalLayer™ Feature Engineering x = encode(oem, segment, dealSize, competitors, dealReg, services, complexity, relationship, valueAdd, ...) x ∈ ℝ¹&sup5; → normalized to [0, 1] via z-score // MarketPrior™ Bayesian Base Rates P(margin | seg, oem) ~ 𝒩(μ_seg, σ²/n) μ_enterprise = 14.2% σ₀ = 5.1% μ_midmarket = 18.7% σ₀ = 4.3% μ_smb = 22.1% σ₀ = 6.0% // Posterior tightens: σ → σ₀/√n as deals accumulate // n=50: σ≈0.7% n=200: σ≈0.3% n=1000: σ≈0.15%
Unlocks Day 1 · 50+ Deals

SignalLayer

Feature engineering + Bayesian priors

The moment you connect MarginArc, it reads every Opportunity in your Salesforce and extracts 15+ signals from each deal. Each deal becomes a unique point in a high-dimensional feature space. Simultaneously, we compute Bayesian prior distributions for expected margin by segment — and these priors tighten with every deal you close.

Day 1: wide uncertainty (σ = 5%). Month 6: tight confidence (σ = 1.8%). Year 1: surgical precision (σ = 0.9%). Your data doesn't just accumulate — it compounds. Each closed deal makes every future recommendation more precise.
68%
Accuracy at this phase. Rules engine + Bayesian priors. Already better than gut instinct.
Your Deal
Acme Corp — Cisco UCS Refresh — $450K
Won94%
GlobalTech — Network
Margin: 21.5%
Won91%
Vertex — Collab
Margin: 23.0%
Lost89%
MedCore — Security
Margin: 28.0%
Won87%
BrightPath — DC
Margin: 19.8%
Won85%
NovaTech — Wireless
Margin: 22.1%
Lost83%
Apex — UCS
Margin: 26.5%
// MatchIQ™ Similarity Search d(x, xᵢ) = √(∑ˇ wˇ · (xˇ - xᵢˇ)²) wˇ = mutual_information(featureˇ, margin) // learned weights k = max(5, ⌊√n_local⌋) // adaptive k // Distance-weighted margin blend margin_knn = ∑ᵢ (1/dᵢ) · marginᵢ / ∑ᵢ (1/dᵢ) // WinSurface™ Probability Model P(win) = σ(β₀ + β₁·margin + β₂·comp + β₃·reg + ...) σ(z) = 1 / (1 + e⁻ᶻ) // Calibrated via Platt scaling → Brier score < 0.18 // Not a curve — a surface in ℝ¹&sup5; feature space
Unlocks Month 1-3 · 200+ Deals

MatchIQ

Similarity search + probability surfaces

Once you have enough deal history, MatchIQ starts finding patterns humans can't see. For every new deal, it searches your entire history using distance-weighted nearest-neighbor analysis in 15-dimensional feature space. Simultaneously, WinSurface™ builds a multi-variate logistic model that maps margin × deal features to win probability — not a simple curve, but a surface across all 15 dimensions.

The key insight: feature weights are learned, not assumed. If deal registration matters more than deal size for Cisco deals at mid-market accounts, the model discovers this automatically. Your data tells the story — MatchIQ reads it.
79%
+11 points vs. Phase 1. Similarity matching + calibrated win probability. Now outperforming your best rep.
21.8%
Rules Engine
α₁ = 0.30
22.1%
MatchIQ™
α₂ = 0.40
23.2%
WinSurface™
α₃ = 0.30
↓ weighted blend ↓
PricePoint™ Ensemble Output
22.4%
// PricePoint™ Stacked Generalization margin = α₁·rules(x) + α₂·knn(x) + α₃·logistic(x) // Blending weights shift as data grows: n < 100: α = [0.60, 0.25, 0.15] // rules dominate n = 100-500: α = [0.30, 0.40, 0.30] // kNN catches up n > 500: α = [0.15, 0.35, 0.50] // logistic leads // NetworkIQ™ Federated Learning θ_global = (1/K) · ∑ₖ θₖ // federated averaging θ_local = θ_global + Δθ // fine-tuned on your data // Privacy: ε-differential privacy, ε = 1.0, δ = 10⁻&sup5; // Firewall: SHA-256(competitor_id) → exclusion set
Unlocks Month 3-6 · 500+ Deals

PricePoint

Ensemble stacking + federated network intelligence

Now the real magic: three independent models — rules engine, similarity matcher, and probability surface — each produce a margin. PricePoint blends them via stacked generalization with cross-validated weights that shift as your data grows. Early on, rules dominate. Over time, the ML models take the lead. Add the MarginArc Network's anonymized, firewalled data from non-competing VARs, and you've got a data advantage no single mid-tier VAR could build alone.

The ensemble is the moat. Any single model can be fooled. But when three independent models agree, the recommendation is rock solid. When they disagree, PricePoint knows to widen the confidence interval and flag the deal for human review.
88%
+9 points vs. Phase 2. Ensemble stacking + network data. Now beating every pricing analyst in the building.
68% 79% 88% 94% Month 3 Month 6 Year 1 Year 2 DRIFT DETECTED OEM price change η × 10 boost
// AdaptIQ™ Online Learning θₜ₊₁ = θₜ - η · ∇L(θₜ, xₜ, yₜ) L = MSE(margin_pred, margin_actual) + λ·BCE(win_pred, win_actual) η = η₀ / √t // adaptive learning rate // Exponential recency weighting λ_time = e(-0.05 · age_months) // recent deals weight more // DriftGuard™ Regime Detection Sₜ = max(0, Sₜ₋₁ + (|errorₜ| - μ_error - δ/2)) if Sₜ > h: DRIFT_DETECTED → η ×= 10 for 30 days // Auto-detects: OEM price changes, competitor shifts, // macro regime changes, seasonal patterns // Adapts within 2-4 weeks of regime change
Unlocks Year 1+ · 1000+ Deals

AdaptIQ

Online learning + regime detection

After a year of closed deals, MarginArc enters its most powerful mode: continuous self-improvement. Every deal that closes — win or loss — updates the model in real time via stochastic gradient descent. No batch retraining. No downtime. And if market conditions shift, DriftGuard™ detects it automatically using CUSUM statistical process control and accelerates the learning rate 10× for a 30-day adaptation window.

This is how you build an unfair advantage. After 12 months, your model has seen every OEM pricing shift, every competitive pattern, every seasonal trend. A new competitor can't replicate it. A consultant can't rebuild it. It's your institutional knowledge, encoded in math.
94%
+6 points vs. Phase 3. Online learning + drift adaptation. Now operating at quant-fund precision on every deal.

31 Features. Zero Guesswork.

Every recommendation is shaped by a rich feature vector spanning deal structure, customer behavior, competitive dynamics, and network intelligence — expanding as your data matures.

15
Active Signals feeding every recommendation
15 / 31
AUTO Synced or calculated from CRM · 17
REP Rep inputs per deal · 6
ACCT Admin sets per account · 2
NET MarginArc data + network peers · 6
Deal Structure
6 / 6 signals
Deal SizeAUTO
Deal Size
Transaction value drives risk/reward calculus. Larger deals have tighter margin bands and higher competitive intensity.
SourceAuto-synced from Opportunity.Amount
UnitDollar amount
Example$247,500
Available Day 1
OEM VendorAUTO
OEM Vendor
Primary manufacturer (Cisco, Palo Alto, HPE, Dell, etc.). Each vendor has unique margin bands, program rules, and competitive dynamics.
SourceAuto from OEM field or opp name pattern-match
UnitVendor name (categorical)
ExampleCisco
Available Day 1
Product CategoryAUTO
Product Category
Networking, Security, Storage, Compute, Collaboration — each category follows distinct pricing curves and margin profiles.
SourceDerived from OEM + product line mapping
UnitCategory label
ExampleNetworking
Available Day 1
Deal RegistrationREP
Deal Registration
Registration type (None, Standard, Premium Hunting) unlocks OEM-specific margin protection tiers of +2% to +8%.
SourceRep selects registration tier per deal
UnitRegistration tier
ExamplePremium Hunting
Available Day 1
Services MixREP
Services Mix
Professional and managed services attached to the deal. Services revenue lifts blended margin by +3–6% on average.
SourceRep indicates services attached per deal
Unit% of deal value
Example15% of deal
Available Day 1
Solution ComplexityREP
Solution Complexity
Single-SKU commodity vs. multi-vendor integrated solution. Complex architectures command premium margins and reduce price competition.
SourceRep selects complexity level per deal
UnitComplexity tier
ExampleMulti-vendor
Available Day 1
Customer Profile
4 / 6 signals
Customer SegmentACCT
Customer Segment
SMB, Mid-Market, Enterprise, Public Sector — each segment has fundamentally different price sensitivity and procurement behavior.
SourceAdmin sets once per account
UnitSegment tier
ExampleMid-Market
Available Day 1
Industry VerticalAUTO
Industry Vertical
Finance, Healthcare, Education, Manufacturing, Government — vertical-specific compliance needs and budget cycles shape pricing.
SourceAuto-synced from Account.Industry
UnitIndustry label
ExampleHealthcare
Available Day 1
Account SizeAUTO
Account Size
Annual revenue and employee count of the buyer. Larger accounts expect volume discounts but offer long-term LTV upside.
SourceAuto-synced from Account.AnnualRevenue
UnitAnnual revenue
Example$85M
Available Day 1
Relationship DepthACCT
Relationship Depth
Strategic, Good, Developing, or New — deep relationships tolerate higher margins because switching costs are real.
SourceSales leadership assesses per account
UnitRelationship tier
ExampleStrategic
Available Day 1
Purchase CadenceAUTO
Purchase Cadence
Order frequency and seasonality for this account. High-cadence buyers value reliability over price — margin opportunity.
SourceCalculated from closed Opportunity history
UnitDeals per quarter
Example2.4 deals/qtr
Unlocks Month 1–3
Lifetime Margin TrendAUTO
Lifetime Margin Trend
Account-level margin trajectory over time. Is this customer training you to discount, or are you building pricing power?
SourceCalculated from closed deal margin history
Unit% trajectory
Example+1.2%/yr
Unlocks Month 3–6
Competitive Dynamics
3 / 5 signals
Competitor CountREP
Competitor Count
Number of VARs bidding on this deal. Each additional competitor compresses margins by 1.5–3% on average.
SourceRep enters known competitors per deal
UnitInteger (0–5+)
Example2
Available Day 1
Competitor IdentityREP
Competitor Identity
Which specific VARs are in the deal (CDW, SHI, Presidio, etc.). Each has known pricing behavior and strategic tendencies.
SourceRep selects from competitor picklist per deal
UnitVAR names (multi-select)
ExampleCDW, SHI
Available Day 1
Displacement FlagREP
Displacement Flag
Are you the incumbent defending, or attacking a new logo? Displacement deals require 15–20% more aggressive pricing.
SourceRep flags per deal (protect vs. attack)
UnitBoolean
ExampleNo (incumbent)
Available Day 1
Head-to-Head RecordAUTO
Head-to-Head Record
Your historical win/loss record against each competitor. Adjusts margin confidence based on proven competitive matchups.
SourceCalculated from CRM win/loss history
UnitWin rate % per competitor
Example3-1 vs CDW
Unlocks Month 1–3
Price Pressure IndexAUTO
Price Pressure Index
Quantified competitor aggression scoring based on observed deal outcomes. CDW at 8.2/10 vs. Presidio at 4.1/10.
SourceCalculated from deal outcomes vs. competitor presence
UnitScore (1–10)
Example7.2 / 10
Unlocks Month 3–6
Market Conditions
2 / 5 signals
OEM Base MarginsNET
OEM Base Margins
Standard vendor margin bands by product line. Cisco Networking: 8–14%. Palo Alto Security: 5–10%. The starting point for every calculation.
SourceMarginArc proprietary OEM database
Unit% range by product line
Example8–14%
Available Day 1
Quarter-End TimingAUTO
Quarter-End Timing
Proximity to OEM fiscal quarter close. Deals in the last 3 weeks see +1–3% incremental margin from vendor urgency to close.
SourceCalculated from current date + OEM fiscal calendar
UnitDays remaining
Example18 days
Available Day 1
Seasonal PatternsAUTO
Seasonal Patterns
Month-over-month and quarter-over-quarter pricing trends. Q4 government flush, back-to-school education spikes, EOY budget dumps.
SourceLearned from historical deal timing patterns
Unit% adjustment
Example+1.5% Q4 bump
Unlocks Month 1–3
Category BenchmarksAUTO
Category Benchmarks
Market-wide margin norms by product category and deal size band. Know if you're pricing above or below the market before you submit.
SourceCalculated from closed deal history by category
Unit% range (P25/P50/P75)
Example11.2% median
Unlocks Month 1–3
Program & Rebate ShiftsAUTO
Program & Rebate Shifts
OEM incentive and rebate program changes detected from deal pattern shifts. Catches margin opportunities your rep didn't know existed.
SourceDetected from margin pattern anomalies in data
Unit% delta
Example+0.8% detected
Unlocks Month 3–6
Network Intelligence
0 / 5 signals
Peer Win RatesNET
Peer Win Rates
Anonymous win/loss outcomes from the MarginArc Network. See how similar deals close across the industry — without exposing any partner's data.
SourceMarginArc Network — anonymized peer data
UnitWin rate %
Example62% at 12% margin
Unlocks Month 3–6
Network Margin BandsNET
Network Margin Bands
Anonymized peer margin ranges by OEM, segment, and deal size. Know the 25th/50th/75th percentile before you price.
SourceMarginArc Network — federated aggregation
Unit% (P25 / P50 / P75)
ExampleP50: 11.8%
Unlocks Month 3–6
Regional VarianceNET
Regional Variance
Geographic pricing deltas across the network. Northeast Cisco margins differ from Southeast by 1.8% on average. Now you know.
SourceMarginArc Network — geo-segmented aggregation
Unit% delta by region
ExampleNE +1.8% vs SE
Unlocks Month 3–6
Deal Velocity NormsNET
Deal Velocity Norms
Network-derived close-rate benchmarks by deal type. Flags deals that are stalling vs. peer velocity — early warning for at-risk margin.
SourceMarginArc Network — deal lifecycle analytics
UnitDays to close
Example34 days avg
Unlocks Year 1+
Competitive TacticsNET
Competitive Tactics
Aggregated competitor strategies from network peers. Which competitors bundle services? Who leads with price? Data-driven counter-strategies.
SourceMarginArc Network — competitive pattern mining
UnitStrategy profiles
ExampleCDW: price-led
Unlocks Year 1+
Rep Behavioral
0 / 4 signals
Rep Win RateAUTO
Rep Win Rate
Individual sales rep historical performance. High-performers get wider margin latitude; newer reps get tighter guardrails.
SourceCalculated from rep's CRM win/loss history
UnitWin rate %
Example68%
Unlocks Month 1–3
Discount PatternsAUTO
Discount Patterns
Rep-specific pricing tendencies. Does this rep consistently leave margin on the table? Or price too aggressively and lose deals?
SourceCalculated from rep's deal margin history
Unit% vs optimal
Example-1.3% vs optimal
Unlocks Month 3–6
Forecast AccuracyAUTO
Forecast Accuracy
Historical accuracy of this rep's deal predictions. Calibrates confidence weighting — optimistic reps get discounted, realists get amplified.
SourceCalculated from forecast vs. actual close data
UnitAccuracy %
Example74%
Unlocks Year 1+
Compliance ScoreAUTO
Compliance Score
How often this rep follows MarginArc's recommendations. High-compliance reps see better outcomes, creating a positive feedback loop.
SourceCalculated from recommendation follow-through rate
UnitCompliance %
Example82%
Unlocks Year 1+
17
Auto-calculated
6
Rep inputs per deal
2
Account setup (one-time)
6
MarginArc + Network

Collective Intelligence.
Competitive Advantage.

No single mid-tier VAR has enough data to compete with the giants. But together? Together, you see everything.

Anonymous Data Pooling

Non-competing VARs contribute anonymized deal outcomes to a shared intelligence layer. No one sees your raw data — everyone benefits from the aggregate.

Competitor Benchmarking

See how CDW, SHI, Presidio, and other competitors price across the network. Know their win rates, margin patterns, and weak spots.

Conflict Firewalls

When a network member appears as your competitor, their data is automatically excluded. Zero information leakage. Full trust.

23% Confidence Boost

Network data increases recommendation confidence by up to 23% vs. your data alone. More data = better recommendations = more profit.

VAR
Alpha
VAR
Beta
VAR
Gamma
VAR
Delta
VAR
Echo
VAR
Foxtrot
FULCRUM
NETWORK
A top-10 consulting firm built this exact concept for a Fortune 100 VAR. They trained it on ~$10B of revenue data and found it improved margin by 4 points a year, equating to over $400M in incremental revenue.
Enterprise validation of the MarginArc concept — proving the ROI at scale.

Concept Validated at Scale

The world’s largest VARs know they need this. The problem is proven. The ROI model is proven. They just can’t build it — cultural inertia and existing processes block execution.

Startup Speed. Enterprise Intelligence.

We ship in weeks, not quarters. No consultants. No committee approvals. Just a Salesforce package and an API key.

Built for the Mid-Market

Enterprise VARs have pre-negotiated OEM pricing and could build this in-house. Mid-tier VARs have standard discounts, more pricing flexibility, and no data science team. That’s where we win.

Built for How VARs Actually Work

Every feature maps to a real pain point we’ve heard from sales leaders at mid-market resellers.

Deal Desk Acceleration

Stop spending 3+ hours per deal in margin review meetings. MarginArc gives the answer before the meeting starts.

New Rep Onboarding

New hires don’t have 10 years of pricing instinct. MarginArc gives them institutional knowledge from day one.

Segment Penetration

Expanding into cybersecurity? Cloud? Use management knobs to accept lower margins strategically while the algorithm learns.

Margin Consistency

Different reps pricing the same deal at different margins? MarginArc normalizes pricing based on deal attributes, not who’s selling.

Competitive Win Rate

Know exactly how to price against CDW, SHI, or Presidio at each account. Historical matchup data turns guesswork into strategy.

Risk-Adjusted Pricing

Stop choosing between “safe low margin” and “risky high margin.” MarginArc shows the risk-adjusted expected value.

Ready to Stop Guessing?

Join the VARs who are turning margin setting from an art form into a science. Book a 15-minute demo and see MarginArc on a live Salesforce org.